Two Infinities


Wed, 08 Sep 2021

Wild Pollinators
spring white butterfly
Spring white butterfly and bee visit broom snakeweed out back by the old ranch road ruts. Ranchers don't like the snakeweed because it makes livestock sick, but others have found medicinal uses for it.

blazing star wildflower blazing-star bee-fly
Blazing star wildflower visited by stealth bee-fly near dusk on Camp Lane, Piñon Springs.

monarch butterfly on crownbeard
Monarch butterfly on golden crownbeard (cow-pen daisy), near dusk on Campfire Road.

swallowtail caterpillar
Black swallowtail caterpillar on dill. Jim the EMT in Magdalena gave JY a dill plant which appeared to come with a little something extra.

posted at: 16:40 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Mon, 06 Sep 2021

Sivinskis scorpionweed
It's no surprise that most of the wildflowers around our Piñon Springs home have wide ranges, often extending north and south to Canada and Mexico. There is, however, an interesting little plant on the northeast corner of our house that, despite being quite attractive to pollinators, is unique to the Socorro County area, phacelia sivinskii. See documentation at nmrareplants.unm.edu.
scorpionweed bee
scorpionweed bee 2
scorpionweed flowers
scorpionweed leaves

posted at: 16:14 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 05 Sep 2021

Riddle of the Sphinx
Walking along our Campfire Rd at dusk last week, JY saw something flitting about the damianita bush. It seemed reminiscent of the humming birds we had been seeing during the day; its wing beats even sounded the same; but it was smaller and extremely fast. We tried to capture it on camera. Though little more than a blur, it is clearly the hummingbird moth, the hawk moth, the white-lined sphinx moth. One can even make out its long proboscis.
sphinx moth sphinx moth 2 sphinx moth 3 sphinx moth proboscis

posted at: 18:24 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Fri, 30 Jul 2021

Importance of a filter for double star measurements
Filters have revolutionized modern amateur astrophotography -- optical filters, that is -- but signal processing filters are of decidedly older vintage. In fact the filter displayed here carries the name of early 19th century mathematician C. F. Gauss. And to apply it, we transform photographic data with a method carrying the name of Gauss's older contemporary, J. Fourier. The revolution in this sphere is the availability to laymen of quality instruments at modest prices.

The exercise is to estimate the separation of a close pair of stars, number 2289 in Friedrich Struve's catalog (STF 2289). The method was first laid out by A. Labeyrie in 1970 (Astronomy and Astrophysics, Vol. 6, p. 85 -- available on-line at https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/). One starts by acquiring a series of short exposure images. The stars in STF 2289 have magnitudes 6.65 and 7.21. Each exposure was 1/50th second in order to freeze the atmospheric distortion. There are 25 images in this series, 16 of which are displayed in the first attached image. One can surmise there is a multiple star, but measuring the separation appears challenging.
STF 2289 image samples

The critical insight is that the atmospheric turbulence manifest in the raw images actually affects light from both stars the same way. And we can see this by taking the Fourier transform of the image data and computing the power spectrum. Adding the spectra together, a spatial periodicity and orientation emerge in the second attached image. One derives an estimate of the separation and position angle but it is still difficult to be precise.
STF 2289 power spectrum

One can compute the inverse Fourier transform of the power spectra to compute the autocorrelation of the image data, but nothing definitive emerges:
unfiltered autocorrelation

The trick, as explained by Labeyrie, is to filter the data. Here the data is multiplied by a Gaussian function in the frequency domain. In the frequency domain, the filter functions as a mild low pass filter. Viewed in the spatial domain, the image is smoothed, replacing each pixel with a weighted average of pixel values in its immediate neighborhood. With this filter applied, the autocorrelation function does indeed show the presence of double object as illustrated in the fourth image.
filtered autocorrelation

Computing the centroid of the secondary maximum, one finds it 12.77 pixels from the center. The images were capured with a 2083 mm focal length telescope, 2.5x "Powermate" Barlow, and 2.4 micron per pixel camera which works out to about 0.095 arcseconds per pixel, and indicates a separation between the stars of 1.21 arcseconds. This is precisely the separation listed for the pair at Stelle Doppie.

This may look better than it actually is. For example, the actual magnification of the Barlow may be a little less. But the moral of the story is how important the right filter is for the application of a fairly modern technicque with very modern equipment.

posted at: 12:09 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Thu, 13 May 2021

Testing my 25" Diameter Slipstream Telescope and ZWO ASI183MM Camera

These two images of the star system STF1879 illustrate some properties of telescope and camera used to capture them. Only the two stars A and B are gravitationally bound. Parallax measurements show that A and B are 44 parsecs away while C and D are much further away.

The first image, exposed for 1 second at gain 65 on the ZWO ASI183MM shows the four stars A-D listed for the system in the Washington Double Star catalog. From SIMBAD one can find that the magnitude of star C is greater 13, 13.23 in visual light. Star A is magnitude 7.72, so star A is about 160 times a bright as star C, and the dynamic range of the camera is over 5 magnitudes as the image of A is not saturated.

The second image was exposed for 20 milliseconds at gain 65 and shows the separation of A and B. These two stars are about 75 AU apart -- dwarf planet Eris is about 68 AU from our Sun -- and revolve about each other in about 250 years.

The second image also hints at limits of 20 millisecond exposures with this rig (~0.3 square meters of light gathering mirror effectively focused at 5 meters). At magnitude 13.2 star C is close to the limit of detection with 1 second exposures, so the detection limit for 20 milliseconds should decrease by about 4.2 magnitudes to about magnitude 9. For example, we wouldn't expect to be able to detect star D at magnitude 11.6, and, indeed, we cannot.

STF 1879 1 second exposure
STF 1879 1/50 second exposure

posted at: 17:56 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 04 Apr 2021

Speckle Interferometry
The autocorrelogram provides an intuitive explanation of speckle analysis, but Fourier analysis provides a framework for inverse filtering (deconvolution) as developed by Labeyrie in 1971. Here is a look at a model and an example.

Part 1: Model

The idea starts out the same in both views. Namely the observed image I is the sum of several images, each the diffraction limited image O having passed through a different cell of air with its own refractive index resulting in a shift of O by a random vector u_j. (Following the Teχ convention of using the underscore to indicate a subscript and letting n denote the number of images.)
I = (1/n)Σ_j O * δ_(u_j), j = 1...n
That is, under the assumption of shift invariance and non-distortion, I is the convolution product of the system input image with the point spread function (PSF), the output image of a point source, here expressed as an equally weighted sum of delta functions.

The Fourier transform of I, F(I), is linear,
F(I) = (1/n)Σ_j F( O * δ_(u_j))
and the transform of a convolution product is the point product of the transforms,
F(I) = (1/n)F(O) ∙ Σ_j F( δ_(u_j))
and the transform of the delta function is the plane wave,
v → exp( -i ∙ v • u_j), v ∈ ℝxℝ
where the bold dot (•) indicates the vector inner product. So taking just the modulus squared of the Fourier transform,
|F(I)|²(v) = (1/n)²|F(O)|²Σ_(j,k) exp(-i · v • (u_j - u_k)), j,k = 1...n,
the product of the transformed input image with the modulation transfer function (MTF). When j = k, the summand equals 1. For the n(n-1) summands where j ≠ k, a real-valued interference term is obtained, cos(v • (u_j - u_k)). If the u_j are independent normal random vectors with variance σ², then the expected value of cos(...) is exp(-|v|²σ²).

If numerous images are captured and the distributions remain stationary, then the images may be averaged. Then, assuming v constrained by the frequency limit of the telescope, by the law of large numbers,
<|F(I)|²(v)> ≈ |F(O)|²(1/n + ((n-1)/(2n))exp(-|v|²σ²))
as the number of samples increases.

Special cases. If n = 1, then the MTF is simply 1, of course. For n > 1, the MTF is a sum of a constant and a Gaussian. If n = 2, then the MTF is
1/2 + exp(-|v|²σ²)/4
And if n = 3, then the MTF is
1/3 + exp(-|v|²σ²)/3
As n increases, that is, the more refracting cells and choppy the air, the balance shifts from the constant to the exponential. As σ² increases, the variance of the Gaussian, proportional to the reciprocal of σ², decreases. Both have the effect of bunching the system response into lower frequencies and suppressing the higher, hence limiting angular resolution.

If O were simply a point source, then looking in the space domain, it's autocorrelation, ideally a single point, would be partially obscured by interference among the speckles, represented here as linear combination of δ₀ and a Gaussian with mean 0 and variance now proportional to σ².

Now suppose that image O is the sum of two point sources, like a double star, say one point at the origin and the other at point w, δ_0 and δ_w with Fourier transforms constant 1 and plane wave v → exp(-2πiv•w). The power spectral density is then
2 + exp(-2πiv•w) + exp(2πiv•w) = 2 + 2cos(2πv•w)
which when transformed back to autocorrelation becomes the triple sum of delta functions
2δ_0 + δ_w + δ_(-w)
Thus, in the presence of speckle noise, we have in the frequency domain
v → (2 + 2cos(2πv•w))(1/n + ((n-1)/(2n))exp(-|v|²σ²))
and taking the inverse transfrom, one recovers the two star autocorrelation with Gaussian noise added in, possibly enough to obscure the relative maxima of the autocorrelation. Of course, if this PSF were a good guide to actual observation, one could use the MDF to construct an inverse filter.

Labeyrie's approach to the PSF was suggested by star photographs and Kolmogorov's model for atmospheric turbulence. Starting there, astronomers have developed more sophisticated models. For example, Jack Drummond has developed a model of the PSF as a sum of a Bessel function and the Cauchy distribution. (Thanks to R. Q. Fugate for the reference).

Part 2: Example of inverse filtering, STF 848

Data: 25 images of double star STF848 (Henry Draper 41943), each exposed for 5 milliseconds each. Here is an animated GIF of the first fifteen (refresh to run again):
STF 848 image samples
We take these images and compute their autocorrelatograms and average them together, essentially checking to see whether the triple of delta functions above can be distinguished through the noise:
STF 848 raw autocorrelogram
Suggestive perhaps but actually nothing pops out; there is only one local maximum.

So, following Labeyrie, we try an inverse filter, one where the filter divisor is obtained by approximating the PSF. The double star STF 848 sits in the "37" open cluster in Orion, and our images contain additional stars in the same frame. In particular STF 848 itself is assigned a visual companions. STF 848D, magnitude 8.3, is circled here in the first frame of our set; STF 848 A and B comprise the bright blob above it:
STF 848D
Using the 25 exposures to compile an average MTF for STF 848D, we construct the unassuming composite:
STF 848D MTF
However, when we compute the element-wise quotient of the average STF 848AB MTF by the average STF 848D MTF and then take the inverse Fourier transform back to the spacial domain to obtain the filtered autocorrelogram, we get this:
STF 848AB filtered autocorrelogram
where suddenly the triple peaks of a double star autocorrelogram can be detected.

Using the ruler tool in the fv FITS viewer for instance, the side peaks are found to be about 21.77 pixels apart. The instrument used here has a focal length of 82 inches and the camera has 2.4 μm wide pixels, hence about .238 arcseconds per pixel. Thus 21.77 px translates to 2.587" separation between STF 848 A and B stars. The "precise separation" listed at Stelle Doppie is 2.605" for agreement within .1" with our estimate.

Scientists have developed many filtering techniques including blind deconvolution using the model above and Gaussian speckle-masking described by A. W. Lohman et al, 1983, (thanks to D. Elmore for introduction to speckle masking) when no reference star is available.

posted at: 11:58 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Wed, 24 Mar 2021

Telescope Builder
On March 6th JY and I hitched up the Jayco toy hauler to our pickup and took off for California. It was our first trip back to California since we had left Irvine, small U-Haul in tow and JY pregnant, August 1983.

From Magdalena we headed west on US 60 past the VLA, Pie Town and Quemado, then northwest skirting Petrified Forest National Park and west on I-40 to the Las Vegas turn-off where we rested for the night.

Sunday morning we drove north, first by the beautiful Lake Meade National Recreation Area, then through the vast expanse of sin city and onward through an breathtaking panoply of mountain ranges along the eastern flank of the Sierra Nevadas, skirting Death Valley and then Walker Lake and the eerie metropolis of ordinance mounds just south. Arriving in Reno, we camped for the night and left for Grass Valley through snow flurries in Donner Pass.

There we met Tom Osypowski living with his wife in quiet seclusion at the end of a narrow gravel lane outside the old gold rush town. Inside his machine shop, a gleaming new Dobsonian telescope awaited us.


Tom's workshop
Tom with Spica Eyes

Asked how he came to astronomy and telescope making and about a beautiful lunar astrophotograph, Tom had this to say:

My astronomy adventure started when I was about 12 years old. It was like some kind of urge just turned on and told me to look at the night sky. I soon got a star atlas and learned the constellations and the names of the stars. Soon after I wanted to get a telescope to look at the planets. It quickly mushroomed from there and before long I was building my own telescopes from surplus parts. This was back in the mid-50's. I joined a local astronomy club, the Milwaukee Astronomical Society. They had an observatory out of town and I spent as much time as I could there using the 13" reflector mounted in a dome. It was with that telescope that I took the picture of Plato and the Alpine Mt range that you saw in my shop. I stayed with my astronomy proclivities until about '65 and then took a sort of sabbatical from that pursuit for 17 years until I moved to the area in CA I now live in. The dark skies here, and another of those "urges" had me building telescopes again and observing the night sky. In 1982 the Dobsonian revolution took hold and I had soon built a 16" dob that won some awards at RTMC. A year later it was equipped with my first Equatorial Platform, a device that was just beginning to take hold of the dob world. The Platform was a huge success and friends asked me to build one for them too. Soon I had a business that I am still working at, 35 years later. Since that first Platform, I have built about 700 more of them for customers. I also started offering complete metal telescopes about 22 years ago, and have built dozens since then. Yours is the latest, #42.

He also reminisced a little about the old days of film photography, dark rooms and enlargers. In passing he also mentioned having lived in Taos a spell, so I asked him for details, and this was his reply:

My time in the Taos area was during my 17 year haitus from astronomy. I was pretty much a hitchhiking vagabond (hippie) for many years, staying in various places, a lot of times alone like a hermit. In New Mexico I had a tiny adobe hut that I lived in. It was in a small town called Arroyo Hondo, outside of Taos. I would walk down a winding trail to the Rio Grande River Canyon that was close by and spend some time in hot springs that were situated right by the river. Also grew a lot of my own food in a great garden I tended. Standing in that garden I could see the snow capped peaks of the southern Rocky Mts. The Sangre de Christo, those peaks were called. The snow off them flowed down in carefully tended ditches to bring water to the towns nearby, and even via a local ditch to the very garden I stood in.

Having packed the new scope securely, we headed west to Sacramento and south through the Central Valley, California's agricultural heartland, then east through the Mojave and back to Magdalena where we rolled the prize into our new observatory.


New Dob at home


posted at: 09:14 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 15 Nov 2020

Building an Observatory
Starting just after autumnal equinox this year and finishing just before the October blue moon, we built an astronomical observatory at our home northwest of Magdalena, NM. Our observatory was modeled on the "dobservatory" Backyard Observatories built for the Montana Learning Center. With workforce depleted by COVID, Scott and Diane comprised the entire BYO crew, and just the two of them assembled the 24' x 24' structure in less than two weeks time on a concrete slab poured by True Blue Construction of Magdalena. Here are a few photos and comments to document the project.
stake out
We picked out a spot with a good southern horizon along the ridge that divides the La Jencia Creek basin from the Rio Salado, an easy walk from the house but far enough to avoid disruptive air currents. That's Jih-Ying behind the Juniper clearing away a few tumbleweeds. Those are the Bear Mountains behind the house with an abandoned uranium mine in view just above the workshop window.
setting forms
Tyler and his helper, Paul (pictured), leveled the ground, dug a hole for the telescope footing, and set up forms for the concrete slab.
starting the pour
Forms ready, Tyler, his son Cash, and Tyler's concrete guy start the pour with the telescope footing, 3 feet deep and isolated from the rest of the slab to prevent vibrations in the slab from shaking the telescope.
troweling the concrete
While concrete guy trowels the wet concrete, busy Cash zipping here and there gets caught in the wire mesh and takes a tumble. Unflappable Tyler patiently keeps Cash out of trouble and Cash, out of school, learns a bit about the trade.
curing the slab
After the concrete was poured, it needed to cure; that is, we needed to keep it moist for a couple days. Water is precious and we don't have a well yet. So John Briggs generously supplied us with a tank of water to use from his well. Jih-Ying, Lori and Mark look on. (John introduced us to Mark and BYO, and Mark found the "dobservatory" on Cloudy Nights. Tyler's new backhoe also posed.
trench for electrical
Tyler used his new backhoe to dig a trench so Danny and Barbara Sandoval could run electricity to the observatory.
Scott and Diane start
Scott and Diane rolled in Friday night, October 16, big black Mercedes van pulling their COVID bubble travel trailer. They had lumber and siding delivered ahead of their arrival and we able to get started the next morning.
framing the walls
The five foot supporting walls go up first.
sheathing all around
Working past sundown, walls are up and sheathing nailed on. Base for the roll-off roof positioned on rails (note extension to the left) and tacked down to keep from rolling off prematurely!
trusses and spacers
Scott and Diane, working just the two of them, installed and spaced the trusses with no more tools than a "Y" made from scrap 2x4's: inverting, lifting one end at a time and flipping. Cool.
hip roof
Scott and Diane formerly built houses. In order to give the observatory an extra degree or two horizon in the direction of the door wall, Scott came up with the idea of a partially hipped roof. "Partial" because the ends of the roof still need to span 24 feet without support from the walls.
roof and gantry
Gantry up. Roof sheathing installed. The upper two feet of the side walls are part of the roll-off roof structure providing extra horizon to scopes mounted on a low axis and head room for humans at the same time. Sort of a hybrid between traditional roll-off roof and a roll-off building like Deep Sky West in Rowe. Opposite the door wall, facing roughly southwest, the upper two feet of wall fold inward.
roofing
After applying a moisture barrier--sort of a synthetic tar paper--Scott applies a metal roof.
snow day
Just hours from completion, an early winter storm blew in. Much needed day of rest for the BYO crew.
Scott and Diane
Sunshine returns, BYO finishes up, Scott and Diane head for their next job in Florida with a stop by Ohio to check up on family and pets.
roof rolls off
Evening, first day. It works!
observatory in moon light
Under the stars and full moon.
observatory interior
Inside the finished observatory. Wired separately for red and white light. Thanks to Mark's suggestions, power on the floor near the pier footing, radiant barrier on the roof underside. Fold-down wall is visible as well.
BYO #309
Signed and sealed. Backyard Observatories number 309. October 29, 2020.

posted at: 15:56 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Fri, 13 Nov 2020

Tod und Verklärung
After about ten years, it appeared that the motherboard of my desktop computer had died. The case and SATA drives and monitor were salvaged but a new CPU and memory were installed on an MSI Z490 "Gaming Edge" board, along with a new power supply and a cool new 1 terrabyte solid state drive the size of a stick of gum. What a difference a decade has made! 16 gigabytes of memory and 6 cores, 4.1 ghz clock.
old and new motherboards


posted at: 18:24 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 14 Jun 2020

A Moderately Close Double Star and Seeing Measurements
This is a look at double star STF 1757 (F. Wilhelm von Struve) located just a shade north of zeta Virgo, a 7.8/8.8 magnitude solar type binary with K giant according to MacEvoy and Tirion's "Double Star Atlas". I was unable to verify by plate solving at Astrometry.net, but the two nearby stars in the image match up with the C and D stars, magnitudes 11.9 and 12.5, listed in the Washington Double Star Catalog (WDS). This image was captured near midnight May 17th with a ZWO ASI290MM on an 8" f/6 reflector.
stars around stf1757
C and D are not physically related to the AB pair although an orbit has been computed for the AB pair, a 461 year revolution at a separation of 73 astronomical units. The WDS also lists the apparent separation as 1.7 arcseconds as of 2018.

Here are two close-ups in SAO DS9 of STF 1757 A and B stars. The first maps file brightness values linearly onto display values while the second uses a convex transformation increasing the visibility of intermediate values.
linear stf1757
logrithmic stf1757
The pixel squares are .49 arcseconds on edge.
Here is a screenshot from a Ginga (Japanese for "galaxy") analysis of the same exposure. The cut through the two bright areas shows a clear diminution of intensity, hence we may say the image successfully split the double star components. The ruler between the approximate centers of the bright areas reads a distance of 3.54 pixels, or about 1.7 arcseconds in agreement with WDS.
ginga view stf1757
Ideally this would mean that seeing, as measured by "full width half maximum" was no more than 1.7" that evening, and that might actually have been the case during the .01 second exposure. But not all the images were this clear, due either to worse seeing or to telescope shake in the strong breeze.

Working at the scope, I was unable to see that my images were achieving sufficient detail to split the star and on subsequent evenings that week, tested only stars with greater than 2 arcseconds separation.

posted at: 00:57 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Wed, 10 Jun 2020

Using plate solver as a star hopping check
The evening of May 18 I was trying to split a double star as a sanity check on seeing measurements I was taking. Canadian weather had predicted poor seeing (https://weather.gc.ca/astro/seeing_e.html) despite the clear skies. From this and the constraints of my equipment I decided to look for a pair separated by about 2 arcseconds. Hercules was high in the sky and double star Struve 2052, near the front knee, is an evenly matched double with 2.3 arcseconds of separation. Gear was an 8" equatorially mounted push-to Newtonian telescope with a ZWO ASI camera which meant that I needed to star hop over. STF 2052 is relatively faint a 7.7 magnitude so it was a challenge for a beginner like me.

I found my way to Gamma Hercules and thought (mistakenly) I had found the double but was unable to split the pair. I chalked it up to seeing conditions, but as a precaution captured a 1 second exposure, long enough to provide a plate solver sufficiently many stars to determine location. The next morning I uploaded the image to the amazingly nice Astrometry.net. Luckily the solution came back quickly, but, unfortunately, it was difficult to read the annotation since both Tycho and Draper identifiers were written in the same place:
annotated plate solve
Luckily, Astrometry.net also provides data in text format as well (cf. http://astrometry.net/doc/net/api.html). In my case the XML snippet of annotations looked like this:

{"annotations": [{"type": "HIP", "names": [""], "pixelx": 1153.8204358390917, "pixely": 484.50643604007297, "radius": 0.0}, 
                 {"type": "HIP", "names": [""], "pixelx": 455.0254442348971, "pixely": 842.2364142131472, "radius": 0.0}, 
                 {"type": "tycho2", "names": ["Tycho-2 1514-945-1"], "pixelx": 844.7352480090982, "pixely": 803.0079527404176, "radius": 0.0}, 
                 {"type": "tycho2", "names": ["Tycho-2 1514-905-1"], "pixelx": 1153.8444483449232, "pixely": 484.5007752543975, "radius": 0.0}, 
                 {"type": "tycho2", "names": ["Tycho-2 1514-827-1"], "pixelx": 1601.7812911350134, "pixely": 1060.7429318451464, "radius": 0.0}, 
                 {"type": "hd", "names": ["HD 148128"], "pixelx": 1153.844500937562, "pixely": 484.50072816016404, "radius": 0.0}]}
This told me the Draper identifier of my candidate was HD 148128, not the identifier HD 148653 for STF 2052 I was looking for. So where had I been looking? Going next to another wonderful resource, SIMBAD (http://simbad.u-strasbg.fr/simbad/) one sees that I was looking at a variable star only half the angular distance away from Gamma Hercules that I should have been looking.

Actually, there was an even more direct approach available. Once Astrometry.net succeeds in solving an image, it regenerates the image into a new FITS file and adds the WCS coordinates of each pixel to the FITS header. Using this information, one may view the image in a FITS viewer and see the right ascension and declination of the pixel underneath the mouse pointer.

The next night, May 19, under similar skies I was better able to match the star chart to what I was seeing in the finder scope and split the double star--at least in the sense of distinct separate bright spots. In this photo, pixels subtend just under .5 arcseconds along the edge, .7 along the diagonal. A little over 3 diagonal distance between bright spots corresonds to an angular separation of 2.3 arcseconds, and the diminution of intensity between the bright spots verifies that seeing was no worse than 2.3 arcseconds.
annotated plate solve
Using my home-baked differential image motion monitor (Sarazin & Roddier, Bally et al), seeing was in the neighborhood of 1.72 full width half maximum in the same location at about the same time.

Many thanks to Mark Cornell for suggesting this comparison.

posted at: 10:16 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Mon, 01 Jun 2020

Double Stars and Seeing
For the last few trips to our Magdalena home, I've been trying to take seeing measurements as part of evaluation of possible sites for an observatory. A friend who is also a professional astronomer suggested checking whether is was possible to split double stars whose angular separation was near the seeing limit.

One pair, in Coma Berenices, is STT (Otto Struve) 266. From the Washington Double Star catalog the stars are nearly equally bright at magnitudes of 7.97 and 8.42 and are separated by 2.00 arcseconds as of 2018.

It was windy and seeing had been predicted to be below average by the Canadian Government website. This was the best exposure; most exposures smeared, all in the same direction. 2.1 arcsecond FWHM computed by Ginga on the 9th magnitude star close by:
FWHM check
But FWHM computed this way varied across exposures, exposure time and target star.

Turning to STT 266 itself, clear separation was observed in exposures without the shake smear. In one, Ginga's cut plugin shows a valley between two peak intensities:
analysis of STT 266
In the second, centroids are guessed by eye and Ginga's ruler utility measured the distance between them. With focal length of telescope at 1200 mm and pixels 2.9 μm each pixel subtends about .49 arcsecond, so a measurement just over 4 px is expected: more analysis of STT 266

posted at: 09:02 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sat, 18 Apr 2020

Double Stars or Fooled by Randomness?
R. Q. Fugate and J. W. Briggs sent out a lovely photo of the Leo Triplet of galaxies, a section of which is displayed below. When looking at such photos with their profusion of stars, my eye tends to single out pairs of stars, and I have often wondered whether the stars were actually close, gravitationally bound, or whether my eye was fooled by randomness. Take, for example, pair of bright orange stars in the lower right corner. Are they close to each other?

Beginning with M66, the galaxy on the left, one can hop down to the bright pair using, say, Simbad (http://simbad.u-strasbg.fr) and its Aladin viewer. These stars are identified as HD 98172, the brighter one, and BD+13 2382. From their coordinates, one sees they are further apart than most double stars, over 2' or about 136 arcseconds east-west as a first estimate, and so are unlikely to be related.

Nevertheless, both Regulus and Iota Leonis in the same constellation have companions listed in the Cambridge Double Star Atlas with separations of 2.9' and 5.5'respectively. So it might still be conceivable the stars are conjoined by gravity. The Simbad also gives proper motion, radial velocity and parallax data for each star. These data indicate the two stars are headed in different directions at different speeds and, by parallax, are at quite different distances from us. So these two stars, however alluring, form an optical, not a physical pair.
Optical double stars near M66

posted at: 16:14 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Wed, 15 Apr 2020

Telescope Clock Drive Motors
After near 20 years there is time for astronomy. Two telescope mounts purchased in Michigan have right ascension drives powered by electric motors.

The oldest motor, which came with a Discovery 8 inch Newtonian, has four leads and runs off 12 volts DC. My initial assumption that four leads meant it was a stepper motor proved wrong. There is also the possibility a separately excited DC motor where rotor and stator are powered separately. Such motors can maintain constant torque at different speeds, and the hand controller that came with the drive provides up to six different speeds.
Discovery clockdrive DC motor
These things came to light because the clock drive had stopped working. I blamed the controller and then the motor as I tried to replace the controller with a Phidgets stepper motor controller, all to no avail. Meanwhile I had sprayed a carburetor cleaner into the gearbox trying to loosen up the old grease. The cleaner container contains acetone which disolved the gearbox casing thus providing access to clean the gears. With freely turning gears, the clock drive works as it should.
gearbox
Nevertheless, this motor really is a stepper. And I was finally able to control it with an EasyDriver stepper driver connected to a Beaglebone Black. It's a little unusual though with 48 steps per revolution where 200 steps is typical.

The second motor, which came with a pipe mount purchased from a basement machinist shop near Livonia, MI, runs off 110 volts AC. This unassuming motor, which I initially mistook for a cheap toy, is a synchronous motor, and is still available even today from Hurst electronics for over $100. These motors have the property of maintaining a constant speed under increasing loads. This came to light because I blamed the motor when the mount failed to track accurately and I searched for a replacement. It turned out that backlash was the culprit and the motor was performing as it should have.
synchronous AC motor

posted at: 17:47 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 08 Apr 2018

Cedar Waxwings Eating Tree Flowers
Along the creek bed behind our warehouse next to a cottonwood tree stands a multi-stem tree with shallow furrowed bark like this:
tree bark

Leaves still in bud and flowers like this:
tree flower

A small flock of cedar waxwings were busily eating the flowers it appeared:
cedar waxwing

posted at: 21:25 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sat, 09 Apr 2011

King Snake Crawl By
A short walk up our street brings one to an overlook of the Galleria, Alabama's largest indoor shopping mall. But an equally short walk in the other direction leads to houses nestled among the woods along Patton Creek. This finger of nearly natural land brings us the occasional wild visitor: armadillo quads, coopers hawks, deer. Last week JY found a young black king snake nearly underfoot.
black king snake

It was about 18 inches long and quite small in diameter as you might infer from the size of the oak leaves in the litter around it. It did not seem to be frightened and allowed the camera to come quite close in.
king snake in leaf litter

posted at: 23:05 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sat, 05 Mar 2011

Primitive Melt Cutter
Last year one of our suppliers sent us a simple tool to cut the webbing we buy into the canvas belts we sell. A cartridge heater is fixed in the blade which, when hot, will cut and seal webbing made from synthetic fiber like polyester or nylon.

To work properly, the cartridge needed a 220 volt power source. The diameter being metric seems to narrow the market in cartridges to 220 volts, but no matter, I found a 110 V to 220 V transformer on-line--cheap and a lot easier than wiring in two out-of-phase circuits! A little bit of grease and the arm brings the blade down to the anvil quite easily. A strong spring pushes the blade back up.

Automated cutting machines are comparatively inexpensive, $3000 plus ex factory in China or Taiwan. I don't know how long it will last, but this hand tool tickles my fancy and cost less than $100.
melt cutter
melt cutter close-up

There was only one glitch. The head of the bolt that fixes the hot blade in its socket snapped off. Luckily, I had the right tool, a bolt extractor. It had lain unused in my tool box since the time M. Carpentier helped me rebuild the engine of my 1959 Volkswagen some thirty years ago.
bolt extractor with bolt

posted at: 23:02 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Tue, 22 Feb 2011

Connections
My kind brother Tom, sent me a recording of Michael Daugherty's "Deus ex Machina" for piano and orchestra, the title referring not to a ruse in drama but to trains. According to Daugherty's notes the third section was inspired by the photographs of trains from the late 50's by O. Winston Link.

I wasn't familiar with Link, but I did meet a photographer who followed trains in the same era, Ted Rose. Ted Rose followed and photographed trains in Illinois, Mexico and Guatamala in the late 50's and early 60's. I met Ted through his wife Polly, who was Dr. Wiegle's secretary at St. John's College where I attended in the early 70's. Polly was a friend to me, and many members of the college. You need only see the picture of her here to understand.

I as at the Rose's one evening, (a beautiful house, by the way, that Ted and Polly had built themselves), and when Ted mentioned his youthful adventures as a train photographer, I was fascinated, and bought one of his photographs to take home to my parents. My mother framed it and saved it and I have it now:
Illinois Central 1958
This was taken in 1958 according to Ted's notes at the bottom; he would have been 17 or 18 at the time. If this photo seems to lack distinction, jump over to www.railroadheritage.org and you will see Ted was very good.

I might have thought my father would like the photograph because he had lavished such care on the Lionel trains he bought for us as children. I still have these, too. Here is one, probably from 1956 or so:
Lionel 1615

And the music? Not wistful as you might expect from a look back; more a driving, rhythmic sound poem. Worth a listen.

posted at: 23:30 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 13 Feb 2011

Alabama Snow Storm
February snow in Birmingham.
snow on deck
snow on bamboo

posted at: 23:14 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Fri, 21 Jan 2011

Preparation
In my previous post I showed a cabinet top I bought a Home Depot for $4.13. Today JY and I built a wooden stand for the cabinet to sit on, making an inexpensive work bench. Four 2 x 4's and a piece of plywood, cut and screwed together. Humble, I know, but fun.

It put me in mind how my brother, John, loved carpentry from early on, and how, contrary to what kids with college ambitions were supposed to do, he took "shop" in junior high. His project, an end table, sat between the twin beds in our bedroom long after all the kids had grown and gone.

Some years after graduating from college, John bought a decrepit house and remodeled it in a grand way. Both he and my mother are pictured below in the finished product. One can glimpse his work with the cornices, the book cabinets, the fireplace mantel, the over-the-top kitchen in the background.
john and virginia relaxing

In digging through old family photos trying to find some record of John's carpentry work, I came across an old Artesia Daily News clipping where John and one of the Watson boys were pictured for having won prizes in the state science fair.

Like taking shop, John also took shorthand in high school, probably the only boy in the class and surely the only student with college in mind. When he did enrol in engineering studies in 1972, he recorded the professors' every word and transcribed it longhand back at the dorm later. He did very well in school that year.

It amazes me now to think back on all that.

posted at: 22:01 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Thu, 13 Jan 2011

Measuring Webbing
A problem we have needed to solve in our webbing distribution business has been to find an economical and relatively fast method to measure out and cut given lengths of fabric. This method should be designed to minimize repetitive stress on the hands and arms of the operator.

A first shot is pictured in the table below:
webbing work table
The table surface is a plastic laminate counter top on sale at Home Depot for $4.13, one piece of which was cut out and set into the inexpensive lazy susan on the left. The turntable on the right is constructed from a lazy susan frame with skid pads and a round piece of plywood attached. Stealing a page from Dobsonian telescope instructions, the plywood is topped off with Bing Crosby Christmas carol LP, a recessed hex screw bolted down in the center. A measuring meter is set in the center with angle iron, tape gun rollers and U-bolts for guides. A melt cutter is on the right.

To cut a 30 foot roll from a larger roll, we mount the source on the large lazy susan and thread the webbing though the meter. Then we reset the meter and squeeze the lead between the driver bit and a post on the LP. Squeaze the variable speed driver and away we go.
winding webbing
webbing meter

posted at: 11:06 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Tue, 04 Jan 2011

The printing press and the internet.
A chapter in "Radical Enlightenment" by Jonathan Israel reminded me of the unfolding story of censorship of the internet in China. The chapter, "Censorship and Culture", recounts the efforts by religious and secular authorities in Europe to suppress erotica, philosophy challenging religion, and undesirable political opinions during the years 1650 to 1750.

The problem for the churches and governments was the printing press and transportation. Books were printed in many different locations, often surreptitiously, and smuggled across borders. Similar, it strikes me, to the difficulty faced by the Chinese government to control, not just a Google, but hundreds of millions of individual citizens.

Of course, there is no reason to think culture will evolve in China as it did in Europe, but it is interesting to think that the freedom to form ones own opinions and to say, even publish, what one opines was not always a western value. Even enlightened opinion felt the state should defend morals and religion. Intellectual freedom and freedom of the press were radical ideas in Europe during the century. Suppression of the atheists seemed as acceptable to most seventeenth century Europeans as the imprisonment of Liu Xiaobo does to the Chinese today.

posted at: 23:02 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Thu, 24 Dec 2009

Santa Comes By
Every year in Hoover, AL, Santa hitches a ride with the fire department and winds his way down every street in town, waving happily to all that come out to see him, much to the delight of the neighborhood children.
Santa in Hoover
Santa waves

posted at: 16:45 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Mon, 25 May 2009

Armadillo Quads Pay a Call
An armadillo litter, four homozygotes, dropped by our woods for some grub a couple weeks ago. They were probably holed up on the banks of Patton Creek nearby. JY kept snapping photos, but they were oblivious til suddenly one noticed her and, characteristically, jumped. Startled, JY did the same.
armadillo visitor
armadillo jumped

posted at: 23:08 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sat, 10 Jan 2009

Surround Soft Box
Providing diffused light for small reflective objects (mostly belt buckles for me) was a difficult photographic problem for me. My friend Ben B. recommended a cloud dome, but they list at $200. I finally hit on an inexpensive construction suggested by D. Montizambert in Creative Lighting Techniques.

I cut a 40% sector of a 32 inch radius circle from a sheet of white woven nylon. Sewing the sector along the two radii forms a cone, and sewing a piece of clothes-line wire along the 72 inch circumference provides a frame for the cone. Cutting the tip provides a hole for the camera lense. Usually, I hold it on the lense body by hand, but with a rubber band, one can free his hands. Mounting the camera on a tripod as shown, while not necessary, is also useful for maintaining fine control.

I use two monolights, one one either side of the cone. The flexibility of the cone lets me place the reflection of the lense from a convex mirror pretty much where I please.
nylon light cone
The buckle below illustrates the diffusion of light from the set-up above. While not hard to do in this case, the lense reflection is hidden by the buckle inlay.
reflective buckle

posted at: 17:00 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 28 Dec 2008

American Crafts
This Christmas we caught a fleeting glimpse of the state of American quilting. Joanne T. has worked in photography and various crafts for many years. In the past three years, she has taken up quilting. Quilting is an entire universe with a history of patterns, a large network of quilters, and many levels of accomplishment.

This month Joanne upgraded her quilting machine. Pictured below, this machine can sew quilts up to ten feet wide. Except for binding the edges, it performs the last step in the quilting process, sewing front and back sheets together with the batting in between. The operator can follow a pattern using a laser guide as Joanne is doing in this picture (see the detail below). Or the operator can sew free-hand, in which case the handles on the opposite side of the arm would be used.
Joanne operatting Gammill
laser guide detail
A quilt finished with her previous machine is shown in the next picture (along with her granddaughter, to whom she gave it).
dog quilt
Joanne lives on a small farm in Washington Parish, Louisiana, and sustained major losses in Hurricane Katrina three years ago. As we were about to leave, she pointed across a pasture to the woodlands. The new green growth underneath the sparse canopy of mature trees represented seedlings germinated from the seeds of trees destroyed by Katrina. This is just visible in the background of a photo I had taken earlier (see below).
new pine growth
I see an analogy in this. Just as new seed sprouts after Katrina, there is a resurgence of skilled activity in the land where the once proud textile industry was laid low by globalization.

posted at: 14:36 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Tue, 17 Jul 2007

Lake Victoria and Sauper's film
We saw Darwin's Nightmare on DVD this past weekend. We watched it twice and watched the interview with Sauper as well. It seems to have generated some controversy. Wikipedia provides some information there.

Sauper explains he is being indirect, but I think his focus is on the effects of globalization and the arms trade on the people in undeveloped, poorly governed countries. The use of Darwin's name is a little misleading; his interest lies not in natural science, but politics, "Social Darwinism" as he says in his interview.

Nor does economics play a large role. Numerous times his subjects note/claim the jets carrying the fish to Europe arrive empty, and numerous times he asks whether they might not actually bring munitions.

What he presents is devasting, especially the cycle of aid to factories to dislocation of workers to public health collapse. But I'm left desperately curious. What is the train in the background transporting? Where do the fish factory owners and workers live? The street urchins are dressed in rags; where are the tee-shirt vendors? How does cash get from perch to arms?

Sauper makes a very good point in his interview; the images he captured were not easily obtained. It was difficult to transport cameras, to get access to airports, even to follow the fish carcasses. Another demonstration of how much we wouldn't have known without serious effort, and, by inference, how much we do not yet know.



posted at: 11:06 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 01 Jul 2007

Texas tee in Hispaniola
A couple years ago, I mentioned The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global Economy and how Texas-style cotton farming extended past the Llano Estacado into the Pecos Valley where I grew up. This year I caught a glimpse of the end of the tee-shirt life cycle described in Pietra Rivoli's book.

My son is studying at the University of Miami medical school. For his spring break this year, he went to the Dominican Republic to help out in clinics and learn. He has described some of his experiences there in his on blog, philcopper.com. Here is one of the pictures he brought back
Dominican child in Texas tee-shirt
Rivoli describes how the tee-shirts that Americans discard get bundled up and shipped to Africa and sold in small stands there. But of course there are many destinations for America's used clothing and the young medical student pictured seems amused with this small incongruity.

posted at: 20:50 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Addendum and second thoughts on photographing olive green
When I first looked at the difference between actual and theoretical values of red in the "moderate brown" square of my color checker, I just assumed that the 18/256 difference was perceptible. I should record that difference:

The problem is that on my consumer grade CRT monitor, the actual recorded value appears closer to the card in my hand illuminated either by indirect sunlight or by the Solux halogen light in my study.

Maybe my card is off? Maybe the reflectivity of the fabric under my static light sources is somehow missed by the camera in flash lighting? And I am mistaking some other difference for color difference?

posted at: 18:44 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Wed, 27 Jun 2007

Trying to get colors right in photography
Over the last couple of years or so, there have been a number of fabric colors that I just never seem to capture. Today I just want to make a note of my attempts to reproduce the olive green that some of my military web belts exhibit.

First step: setting the white balance on my camera. I have a Nikon D-50, and I set the white balance by photographing an 18% gray card.

Second step: including a color checker in the photograph of the fabric:

In this photograph, exposure was chosen that seemed best to reproduce the color checker as a whole. Also, the grays correspond pretty well to the values for sRGB at brucelindbloom.com. My 2 high and low values are spot on and the middle two are high by 13 (out of 256). Measurements of the image of the color checker were taken with GIMP's color picker.

My own problem with this photo is that it seems to change the olive drab to a brown drab. The problem can be seen in the color checker in the first spot; the "dark skin" or "moderate brown" have listed sRGB value of (115, 80, 64) while the photograph above reads (139, 77, 57). There is too much red in the medium brown. Using GIMP's color curves to tone the red down around the value of the olive green in the belt does improve the color reproduction of the olive green--but, of course, throws the greys out of whack.

It is also curious to me that the other related color, "foliage" or "moderate olive green" is pretty much in line; (88, 113, 64) in the photo and (88, 108, 65) in the chart.

I can only conclude the problem is in the camera (or the camera software).

posted at: 23:47 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sun, 03 Jun 2007

Using extension tubes to photograph a fossil
Recently I visited the photo store to shop for a macro lense for my Nikon D-50. The camera is a paradigm of sophisticated technology modern manufacturing has put within reach of someone of modest means. The Nikon macro lenses have not followed suit (yet), the least expensive costing more than the D-50 body. So I purchased a 12-20-36mm set of extension tubes for $150. Surely I need not have spent so much--Rick at Shutter Freaks reports paying half as much for his Canon--but you are paying for more than the product when you go to a camera shop...

The benefit of the extension tube is to allow the lens to focus on closer objects without significantly changing in angle it subtends, thus increasing the angular magnification. Wikipedia has more detail. The downside is that the lens cannot focus on distant objects. Furthermore, built-in calibration of a zoom lens that keeps an object in focus while zooming no longer works, of course. Also a longer extensions and shorter focal lengths, the distance between the nearest and farthest object that can be brought into focus becomes so small as to make focusing difficult. But, hey, a microscope is useful with a narrow range of focus andwithout the capacity to focus on distant objects.

For my own records, at least, here is ranges I get for the Nikkor AF 70-300mm set at 70mm. Distances are approximate (precise to 1/8") and are what I measured between the focal plane mark and the object. At some point between the 20mm and 36mm extension, the minimum and maximum distances invert with respect to extending or retracting the objective lens!

Focal range for Nikkor AF 70-300 set at 70mm
Lens retractedLens extended
no extension60"infinity
12mm extension22.125"24.125"
20mm extension18.875"19.25"
36mm extension15.375"14.75"
In contrast to this, setting the zoom to 300mm and using the 12mm extension, one can focus on objects from about 4 to 25 feet.

To illustrate, here is a wonder fossil picked up by Bill Haywood, forester, author and rock hound extraordinaire. He says this about it:

This is out of the ordovician era. Corals were just barely evolving. The main fossil in the center is a branching coral and some researchers think that it might even have been a sponge but we are sticking with branching coral. Most of the other fossils are brachiopods. This deposit was made about 500 million years ago. The layer you are looking at is blanketed by limestone so the ocean must have receded and this was a clay deposit in a delta area. How about the detail on those fossil surfaces!?
The area from the 12mm extension is about 4" by 2.625":

and the area from the 36mm extension is about 1.75" by 1.125":

Finally, here is a pixel-for-pixel detail from the previous shot:



posted at: 16:00 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Tue, 29 May 2007

Andrew Wyeth revisits Kuerner's farm
Nearing 90, Andrew Wyeth revisited Kuerner's hill to paint Margaret Kuerner's portrait this year. Blind and confined to bed, now close to 90 herself, she has lived at the foot of Kuerner's hill, across Ring Road from the Kuerner farmhouse for over fifty years. So that famous knoll is more than a fanciful background, it is the view from Margaret's window.

Wyeth, like any artist, I suppose, has his own intentions, and Wyeth himself has often exhorted his viewers to look beyond the image, and perhaps the juxtaposition of his icon and reflective denizen gesture towards a retrospection of his own. But Margaret's serenity is not Wyeth's creation and is no accident of time. She was gentle before and her memory is clear. When I mentioned the photo to her, she chuckled at the memory of Palm Beach and her own youth before coming to Kuerner's.



posted at: 09:53 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Mon, 03 Apr 2006

Halogen light stand for studio photos
Getting accurate colors of the products I photograph for my website has been a constant struggle for a novice photographer like me. I feel I've made real progress for a modest investment following a wonderful article over at creativepro.com.

Figure 3 in this article plots the spectral power distributions of special "daylight" fluorescent lamps and of filtered halogen lamps against the D50 referent. I found that using "natural sunshine" fluorescent bulbs and calibrating the white balance of my Nikon D-50 to a gray card solved the problem I was having representing various olive greens. Needing directional lighting and seeing how filtered halogen achieves a color rendering index of 98 or 99, I decided to try making my own halogen fixture. The parts I have bought are

Smith-Victor 1/4 x 20 screw adapter for light stand
Provides a screw stud for attaching a light assembly to one of their light stands.
2 3" corner braces
From the hardware store, these "L" brackets provide two vertical mounts as well as horizontal angle adjustment. They're tightened down with thumbscrews for convenient adjustment.
2 3/8" conduit hangers with speed thread
Instead of conduit, the hanger holds a halogen light socket. I used a 1/4" x 3/4" serrated flange bolt to attach the hanger to the "L" bracket and tightened it with washers and thumbscrew to facilitate vertical angle adjustment.
2 2" mending plates
These are attached to the hanger clamp bolt by two hex nuts and provide a handle for vertical adjustment of the lights--I expect the clamp to get too hot to handle comfortably.
2 MR-16 sockets
The filtered halogen bulbs (Solux) I need have an MR-16 base--one reason I couldn't use off-the-shelf fixtures I saw at the hardware store.
1 120VAC to 12VDC transformer
Halogen lights use DC current. I'm expecting to use 2 50 watt bulbs but I spent an extra $10 for the 150 watt transformer just in case I need more wattage later.
1 6' cord set with switch
This one came with a socket at the end, but I cut it off and spliced the cord to the transformer.
7' 12 gauge wire
I'm planning to let the transformer rest on the floor, so I need a length of heavy guage wire (because of the high amperage) to run from the floor to the top of the light stand.
The total cost has been $68 for the assembly and $14 for two 50 watt filtered halogen bulbs with most the assembly cost due to the transformer ($39). This does not include the cost of the light stand, but it does include the cost of various 1/4" nuts, washers and bolts as well as electrical connectors which one might already have lying about the shop.

Here is a photograph (click to enlarge):



posted at: 09:41 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Thu, 23 Mar 2006

Dr. Bergren talks to Kiwanis about breast cancer
Dr. Carl Bergren spoke to his Dearborn Kiwanis Club last night about an apect of his surgical practice. I, myself, at my son's recommendation, have been slowly making my way through Atul Gawande's Complications: A Surgeon's Notes on an Imperfect Science. The combination induces a disquiet that, I suppose, accompanies any meditation on our mortality, but there is also an exhilaration at gaining a new perspective on a familiar topic, the practice of medicine.

It is easy to forget how we deal with the world largely through abstractions, and it is easy to forget how difficult and fallible is the process of abstracting from experience. In fact, religion and other human behavior show how abstraction can be distasteful as well as difficult. Surely there is no better example of the jarring confluence of shamanism and science than the medical profession.

Not to put words in his mouth, but Dr. Bergren seemed to feel from his own experience that the increasing incidence of cancers is environmentally related, but at the same time seemed overwhelmed by the difficulty of distinguishing which of the many changes in our environment might be most harmful. He mentioned a population in Japan which exhibited one of the lowest breast cancer rates, but then said when members of that population are removed from their location and diet, they quickly exhibit the same rates of cancer incidence as their new group. (You can imagine how difficult it would be to establish even that one simple statistical fact!) He speculated that the reason might be related to the high consumption of soy products in the Japanese population.

On the other hand, he did mention that there appear to be differences in cancer incidence among racial groups. When questioned further, he said that african-americans tend to exhibit more aggressive forms of breast cancer, but when asked whether that fact might be due to differences in diet and environment, he said only that the issue was a contentious, even political, one. Again, think how difficult a statistical question is being asked. It is hard enough to relate race to genome and near impossible to tease out factors of diet, culture, access to and practice of healthcare.

Another suspect environmental factor Dr. Bergren mentioned several times was growth hormones passed to us through meat. Although he allowed no connection between breast size and cancer rates, he did say that through the years of his practice he felt that there had been an increase women's breast size on average. He didn't seem to feel it was related to obesity, but rather allowed his suspicion to rest on environmental factors like growth hormone. When pressed on this question, shouldn't there be some statistically testable aspect of his hypothesis, he only commented on the difficulty, observing how the similarity of human and synthetic growth hormones fed to livestock made it impossible to relate even the levels of hormone-related chemicals to meat intake.

After considering the difficulties of medicine, Dr. Bergren mentioned the book Doctors Never Lie with which I a not familiar, but he certainly put me in mind of one with which I am: How to Lie with Statistics. And, as I often do, I felt amazed how humans were ever able to abstract anything useful from the morass of physical experience.



posted at: 09:39 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Sat, 11 Mar 2006

Arguing fair about big pharma
I picked up The Truth about Drug Companies a couple weeks ago. The New York Review of Books maintains an exerpt on-line here. Dr. Angell has performed a great service to the public writing this information up.

I worry that she might have weakened her argument by pushing it too hard. One thing in particular caught my attention. She misunderstands the phrase "opportunity cost of capital" and argues rather heatedly on the basis of that misunderstanding. Basically, industry apologists use this idea when estimating the cost of developing new drugs. The idea is used to rationalize investments made a different points in time; somehow the cost of an investment is greater when one must wait longer for a return.

The point isn't so much that she should misunderstand financial jargon, but rather what the mistake revealed about her mindset. If she seems less judicious, she is less persuasive.



posted at: 22:58 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Progress or Stagnation?
A new paper Where did the Productivity Growth go? by I. Dew-Becker and R. J. Gordon received pundit coverage February 10 by Samuel Brittan in the Financial Times and again a couple weeks later by Paul Krugman in the New York Times. Basically, the vaunted gains in productivity have gone to the superstars while the median wage earner has realized no palpable gain over the last 40 years.

On the other hand, a recent report by the Census Bureau 65+ in the United States: 2005 states that "people in the United States are living longer and healthier lives than ever before," with emphasis on healthier. In fact, "disability among the older population is declining," and "studies over the past two decades have revealed substantial declines in the rates of disability and functional limitation."

"People today have a better health expectancy than did their predecessors," Richard Suzman, head of the Behavioral and Social Research Program for the National Institute on Aging said. "Education, in particular, is a particularly powerful factor in both life expectancy and health expectancy, though truthfully, we're not quite sure why." (quoted by the NYT.)

Do these fit together? Possibly. Brittan, a week later, questions the importance of GDP growth as a broad measure of economic well-being, saying, for example, "there is an extremely loose connection between income and reported life satisfaction" (translation: money doesn't make you happy).

I wonder how, say, safer automobiles relate to productivity, or, perhaps, fewer smokers.



posted at: 21:59 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Mon, 27 Feb 2006

User-agent: *
Disallow:

posted at: 14:33 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Tue, 07 Feb 2006

The Superbowl's best moment
My favorite Superbowl moment was Mick Jagger pausing to say they could have perfromed for Superbowl I--all things come to those who wait!

posted at: 15:46 | path: | permanent link to this entry

What is it with Hillary?
Iraq is a mess, but high oil prices are enriching all sorts of unsavory regimes. Iran is going nuclear as North Korea already has. The budget deficit will beggar our children while our carbon emissions will make this wonderful earth less hospitable to them. Our manufacturing base is eroding.

But still I'm hearing derogatory jokes about Hillary Clinton. Why is that? Is it really true we are puppets on strings, so easily distracted?

Having put the spotlight on Hillary, just what is so horrible about her? She stood by Bill in his hour of shame. Her one effort of note while first lady was to promote health care reform. Would such reform really have been so bad? Have the Republicans and insurance companies since improved the efficiency or efficacy of our health care?

Not only are these people insulting Hillary; they're insulting our intelligence.



posted at: 15:44 | path: | permanent link to this entry

Thu, 26 Jan 2006

Rep. McCotter speaks to Garden City Kiwanians and Rotarians.

Today I attended a Kiwanis Club meeting in Garden City, Michigan. The speaker was Thad McCotter, U.S. Representive from the area. I might have mentioned earlier how Representive John Dingell gave an interview to KiwaniTalk last December. Where Mr. Dingell seemed the voice of reason itself, Mr. McCotter seemed rather the voice of blind ideology. Maybe I'm just getting old.

Among a number of rather startling pronouncements, Mr. McCotter held that

Yet outside ideology, Mr McCotter seemed affable enough, often cracking self-effacing jokes. No political glad handing though; I didn't see him shake hands with anyone, and he marched out of the restaurant speaking only to his assistant and looking at no one or thing except the television in the entry way.

So all this gets me thinking about unstable systems, though. Why does the difference between Mr. Dingell and Mr. McCotter seem so much more extreme than would represent the differences among the populations of the two suburban, contiguous congressional districts?



posted at: 14:49 | path: | permanent link to this entry